Latest update:
November 19, 2000
As long as this "blackboard" is posted,
this section will be under construction under your tutelage.
And, as it develops effectiveness toward helping more people understand
what science is really about. For that, we need input from you.
|
This temporary"NewConstruction" page
which branches from
the Secret Door
will be developed to
illustrate examples of explanations of pseudoscience
(and why that derogatory name is appropriate)
and to illustrate how correct science can be useful
(to anyone)
.
Pseudoscience............&............. Irrationality
.
Let's do
something about "pseudoscience." We think something
can be done.
It's a matter of science education. |
Let's do something about "irrationality."
We think something can be done.
It's not really a matter of teaching and learning. |
|
Science education is ineven worse shape than is generally recognized–in ways
that are hard to see; in directions seldom looked into. |
It goes deeper: learning is like feeding your computer data input; what's needed
is more like installing new software or hardware. |
| Science of the past several centuries
has qualities that earlier science lacked. A small percentage of those who
learn science "see" those qualities; many more don't. |
Science of the past several
centuries rests on reasoning that isn't limited to science. All
human endeavors can benefit from those subtle skills of information processing. |
|
While science has been imperfectly learned for centuries, research done in
the past few decades has discovered the imperfect learning, has attended to
the problems, and has developed approaches that have begun to solve those
problems. Many students today acquire useful knowledge of science
concepts where in the past such skills have been limited to "the gifted few." |
|
This Website is an
experiment. It's an experiment in enticing people to look into
"the edge of human comprehension" and convincing them that the hard work
is worth the effort. It's an experiment in finding exemplars that can
help us understand the difficult points and then realize the power of the
skills gained. It's an experiment in proving that genuine
intellectual development is possible after reaching voting age. |
Pseudoscience is
truly pseudo.
Those ideas which get called "pseudoscience" are not what science
calls "tentative hypotheses." Instead, they are what science
calls "misconceptions" because they generally are based on poor reasoning
and often are the concepts which have been found wrong and
corrected...sometimes centuries ago.
The reasoning which is often missed by "pseudoscience" tends to
involve certain kinds of oversimplification. Too few influences
get taken into account leaving these logical errors
(among others):
- A "flip-flop" flavor of reasoning
that jumps from one "The Cause" or "The Effect" to another when many causes
or effects are actually all significant.
- Multiplicative effects are
incorrectly seen as being additive.
- Blurring of the distinction
between an implication and its own inverse; including failing to distinguish
between necessity and sufficiency, between some and all, etc.
- Failure to systematically generate all alternatives.
- Missing negation of negation, and substitution of additive negation.
- Unseen implications of mutual reciprocity.
- Improper (or nonexistent) use of ratios and proportions. Orders of
magnitude not understood.
- Missing statistical inferences; "randomness" not conceptualized.
- Multicomponent measure not conceptualized; all rank orders seen as
being transitive and unique.
- Undue influence of wishful thinking and tendency to select coorborating
evidence while ignoring disconfirming evidence.
Correcting these errors and filling in the gaps in reasoning has use far beyond science.
Examples:
| Have you ever seen people trying to get a
suntan in the heat of the late afternoon summer sun. They don't
succeed. They frequently don't realize they haven't succeeded. |
All the information is available which is
needed to discover that the ultraviolet that causes suntan is virtually
absent when the sun is below about 45º from the horizon. We need
to sort through many variables and identify which are relevant
and which are not. |
| How many times a day do you hear of
someone identifying "the best" . . . the best city to live in, the smartest
person in the country, the best athlete in the country, the best
author, the best Web site on the Internet, the best candidate for the
position, . . . |
"The best" is almost always contingent
on several (perhaps very many) different factors. Declarations of "the
best" should always be met with a skeptical, "It depends..." In
terms of modern knowledge about measurement:
Most measures have multiple components. |
| How many people notice that the darkest
evening of the year is on December 9, not the winter solstice? And the
darkest morning on January 2 or 3? | This
is not just another trivial oddity. Following it up leads to much the
same knowledge that initiated today's scientific revolutions. |
| Wars and tyrannies are almost guaranteed
when a culture fails to admit that they contribute to the causes of a
controversy: When the decision makers cannot construct a
hypothetical situation that is "fair" in the sense that they would make
the same decision whichever "side" they are placed on. That is,
when they must first know which is "their side" before they can make
the decision.
|
This is the relationship of
"mutual reciprocity " that we encounter in Newton's law of action and
reaction, in the "complementarity" we see in the wave-particle duality,
and in the equivalence of mass and energy in Einstein's special theory
of relativity. It's simple, but it's subtle. |
After the year 2000 presidential election, the public learned of
"butterfly ballots" and "chads." This butterfly ballot was said to
confuse some voters by being unclear which black dot corresponded to which
candidate. (Punching created the chad, the little circle of paper.)
Former Secretary of State James Baker argued that butterfly ballots
are satisfactory ballots because one used in Illinois didn't cause any
difficulties as some people claimed that this one, used in Palm Beach
County Fla, did.
|
The relevant issue was not that the ballot is a "butterfly ballot," but
whether this version of a butterfly ballot was especially confusing to
voters. The Illinois ballot appeared, in news reports, to have
two columns of punchable dots, one for each side (does anyone have a
photo of this ballot?).
James Baker, by attending to an irrelevant factor
when making a claim about the relevant factor, did not
actually address the question he appeared to be addressing.
Because of the common human tendency to see only one issue at a
time in multiple-issue situations, such arguments often work when
they should not. This is a powerful tool in the hands of
advertisers whose job is to accentuate the positive and elminiate
the negative. Trial lawyers, too, are forced to tango with this
oversimplification.
|
We need exemplars.
We also need more examples and metaphors. We need more puzzles and
problems that can lead a person to exemplars and models, and so to
understanding. We need routes to "Eurekas." An example of an
exemplar is the use of "A vegetable is a potato" to demonstrate the error
of "Energy is the capacity to do work."
Labeling an idea or a person "irrational"is
almost always oversimplification.
(And it isn't going to encourage
him or her to listen to you, either.) Individual errors of
reasoning or logic must be isolated and identified. We can always add
to our tools of information processing. We can always hone the
ones we now have.
The ideas of today's science are useful.
If they seem not to be useful, they almost certainly are not being
understood. Concepts that are well understood will give us answers
in unsuspected ways and places.