|Gambling is often seen as a moral problem.
The gambler has a "weakness," which must be corrected, perhaps by some
authority—perhaps parents if he (or she) is young, perhaps a pastor if
he is older, perhaps a prison if he is completely morally profligate.
A question of morality?
Not if we "see":
The logic of randomness.
wheel is fair, its fluctuations are random. And who's who is irrelevant:
the odds are the same for all. Egocentrism = gullibility.X
The logic of statistics.
think past results of the wheel can influence future results, I am
deceiving myself. That's why that belief is "the gambler's fallacy."X
The logic of kinetic theory.
theory is the physics teacher's demonstration (a bit oversimplified) that
random events can have highly predictable outcomes.X
The logic of thermodynamics.
predictability of random events gives us reliable science so that engineers
might design engines of the greatest possible efficiency. Entropy
expresses the statistics of life, and silt is one of the life's little
unpleasantnesses entangled with entropy.X
The logic of life.
from alternatives, advantage being our goal. Whether it's the entropy
effects of our food or fuel, or the predictabilities of our gambling, statistics
rules. Statistics demands that to win we must be on the right side
of the gambling table...and that to live we must ingest food
and remove waste byproducts.X
|The "weakness," is not so much moral as
it is cognitive, because the logical errors of gambling lie just a bit
beyond the edges of easy human comprehension.
When "blind" to these logics, we might fall back on our parents or preist
for guidance. Better yet, we can seek ways to overcome our blindness.
at the end of a chalk talk links to pages in our Web site.